TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:12 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Athletic Club and Getafe CF, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletic Club" if Athletic Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Getafe CF" if Getafe CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Athletic Club and Getafe CF, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletic Club" if Athletic Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Getafe CF" if Getafe CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or factors unrelated to the pure probability of an event, while this market relies on individuals directly assessing the likelihood of Athletic Club or Getafe scoring first. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk appetites, information access, or simply varying perspectives on the teams’ form. However, significant and sustained differences between prediction market prices and sportsbook lines can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, also influences price discovery. Currently, the market is showing a dynamic pricing environment as users react to team news and pre-match analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team—Athletic Club or Getafe CF—scores the first goal in the match. The official match records will serve as the source of truth. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on widely accepted football rules and regulations. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Athletic Club or Getafe would likely cause price shifts. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before kickoff could also impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even significant pre-match commentary from respected football analysts, could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the assessment of either team’s chances of scoring first has the potential to influence trading activity.