TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks how the scheduled fight between Ateba Gautier and Roman Kopylov concludes. Outcomes include knockout, submission, decision, or a draw/no contest, reflecting the range of possible results in a competitive match.
The market resolves to Yes if the fight between Ateba Gautier and Roman Kopylov, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026, concludes via any recognized method of victory or inconclusive result. Specifically, this includes wins by knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), disqualification (DQ), submission, decision, or if the bout ends in a draw or no contest. The resolution hinges solely on the official result of the fight, regardless of how it is achieved. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, whereas this market aggregates the informed opinions of many individuals. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing liquidity and the types of bettors participating on each platform. It's common to see initial differences, but as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi often converge with those offered by sportsbooks, particularly if there’s significant public interest in the Gautier vs. Kopylov fight.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, these prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each finish method. The market depth shows the quantity of contracts available at different price points, indicating the strength of conviction behind each prediction for the Gautier vs. Kopylov fight.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially declared method of finish for the Gautier vs. Kopylov fight, as determined by the relevant governing body or fight organizers. This includes methods such as knockout, technical knockout, submission, or decision. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, providing a definitive outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the prices in this market leading up to Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Gautier or Kopylov would likely cause significant shifts, as would updates on their training camps or fight strategies. Public statements from the fighters or their coaches could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, changes in betting patterns on Kalshi, driven by new analysis or information, will directly affect the prices. Unexpected developments in the days before the fight, such as weight-class changes or rule adjustments, could also move this market.