TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 3.5 total goals will be scored in the Atalanta versus Venezia Serie A soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 3.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on whether over 0.5 goals are scored in the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the game. Keep a close watch on the kickoff of the Atalanta vs Venezia match on October 12, 2026, as that will determine the outcome of this market.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored by both teams in the Atalanta vs Venezia professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. If over the specified threshold of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) are scored, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own insights, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting action, the continuous trading on Kalshi allows for a more dynamic and potentially more efficient price discovery process. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before the event begins.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Atalanta vs Venezia match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the event’s outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the expected number of goals scored in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Atalanta vs Venezia match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The market’s resolution is independent of any subjective interpretation.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Atalanta or Venezia would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift the market. Late-breaking team news, such as starting lineup announcements, could cause rapid price adjustments. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could influence trading activity and move the market.