TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:24 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the margin of victory in the Atalanta versus Venezia Serie A match. Different thresholds define how many more goals one team must score than the other for the market to resolve positively.
Each market resolves based on the goal differential in the Atalanta vs Venezia professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Markets specify that Atalanta must win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Venezia must win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals for resolution to Yes. If the conditions are not met, the market resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and public perception, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of informed bettors believe the sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, you may see divergence in pricing. It’s common to find that prediction market odds become more accurate as the event approaches, incorporating a broader range of information than traditional sources.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The current price indicates the market’s collective assessment of the likelihood of a specific spread in the Atalanta vs Venezia match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Atalanta vs Venezia match will be determined by the official result reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle based on whether the actual spread exceeds or falls short of the specified value, as determined by the official game statistics. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Atalanta or Venezia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching staff could also shift the market. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns, will also be reflected in the price of this market.