TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 1.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 1.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
Time left: 02h:11m:05s
$
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Atalanta and Parma Calcio. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Atalanta vs Parma Calcio professional Serie A soccer match exceed specified thresholds. The match in question is scheduled for November 2, 2026, and only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time at the end of each half count — extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded. If the cumulative goals surpass any of the defined thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5), the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same underlying condition but differ only in the threshold required for a Yes outcome. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, whereas this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Atalanta vs Parma match. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The goal is to accurately forecast the final goal tally, and the market price represents the current best estimate.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Atalanta vs Parma match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Atalanta or Parma would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also impact the market. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts and any late-breaking team news could sway trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market.