TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 6:04 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the Serie A match between Atalanta (ATA) and Frosinone (FRO), scheduled for 2026-10-25 14:00 UTC. - ATA: If Atalanta wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - FRO: If Frosinone wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both ATA and FRO options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Serie A. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
This market refers to the Serie A match between Atalanta (ATA) and Frosinone (FRO), scheduled for 2026-10-25 14:00 UTC. - ATA: If Atalanta wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - FRO: If Frosinone wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both ATA and FRO options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Serie A. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Opinion, aims to represent the true probabilities of each outcome, without a built-in profit margin for the venue. Consequently, you may find that the implied probabilities from this market differ from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially reflecting a more accurate assessment of the event’s likelihood.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The most actively traded outcome currently suggests a higher probability of a Draw, though this can change rapidly based on trading activity and external factors.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Atalanta vs Frosinone match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and official announcements leading up to this date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the event’s conclusion.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Atalanta or Frosinone would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader behavior. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Monitoring soccer news sources and paying attention to expert analysis will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.