TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Serie A soccer match between Atalanta and Frosinone. Bettors can speculate on whether Atalanta will secure a victory, Frosinone will come out on top, or if the game will end in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Atalanta vs Frosinone professional Serie A soccer match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Atalanta wins, the 'Atalanta' market resolves to Yes. If Frosinone wins, the 'Frosinone' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result after regular time.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes providing more accurate forecasts, particularly when there’s significant public interest and informed trading. However, sportsbook odds reflect the views of their oddsmakers and can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns, which may or may not align with the predictions made in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Atalanta vs Frosinone match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price indicates the cost to acquire a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome happens.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Atalanta vs Frosinone match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that triggers payout will depend on the contract purchased, representing a particular result of the match. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results are verified.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Atalanta or Frosinone would likely cause shifts in the odds. Major tactical changes announced by either team’s manager could also impact market sentiment. Additionally, general football news, such as changes in team form or unexpected results in other matches, could indirectly affect how traders assess the probabilities. Even significant weather forecasts for the match location might play a role in price movements.