TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 3:02 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Atalanta BC and Venezia FC, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atalanta BC" if Atalanta BC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Venezia FC" if Venezia FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Atalanta BC and Venezia FC, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atalanta BC" if Atalanta BC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Venezia FC" if Venezia FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines with a built-in margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an event. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to note that sportsbook odds are influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management, which can lead to differences.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Atalanta or Venezia will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven entirely by supply and demand, meaning the market’s assessment of each team’s chances is constantly evolving based on trader activity. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments to perceived probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team – Atalanta or Venezia – scores the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be straightforward, establishing which team achieved the first goal, and that will determine which shares pay out.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Atalanta or Venezia would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of wins or losses, could also impact trader sentiment. Even pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts and commentators could sway opinions and drive trading volume. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, potentially favoring one team's playing style over the other.