TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 4:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Atalanta BC and Parma Calcio 1913. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
In the upcoming match between Atalanta BC and Parma Calcio 1913, scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atalanta BC" if Atalanta BC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Parma Calcio 1913" if Parma Calcio 1913 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Atalanta BC and Parma Calcio 1913, scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atalanta BC" if Atalanta BC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Parma Calcio 1913" if Parma Calcio 1913 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and aim to profit from imbalances, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate probability, especially as more information becomes available. The volume of $999 traded on this market suggests significant interest and potential for price convergence as the event approaches.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to differences in user base, trading activity, and platform-specific rules. Each platform attracts a distinct set of traders with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance, influencing the price discovery process. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform—currently $999—can impact price volatility and spread. While both platforms address the same question, these factors contribute to potential discrepancies in the perceived probability of each outcome within the Atalanta vs. Parma first-to-score market.