TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the exact final score of a Serie A soccer match between Atalanta BC and Frosinone Calcio. The markets consider only the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A wide range of possible scores are explicitly listed, with 'Any Other Score' serving as a catch-all.
In the upcoming Serie A game between Atalanta BC and Frosinone Calcio, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie A game between Atalanta BC and Frosinone Calcio, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Atalanta BC vs. Frosinone Calcio match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when a large and informed group participates. The volume of $25,871 in this market suggests active trading and a degree of confidence in the collective forecast, potentially offering a different signal than conventional betting lines. These markets can also incorporate information faster than sportsbooks.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict on the Atalanta vs. Frosinone score market can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading interfaces and fee structures also vary, influencing participation and price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for setting and adjusting odds on each platform—such as order book dynamics versus automated market makers—can lead to discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Atalanta BC 0 - 4 Frosinone Calcio at 75 percent, while Predict leans toward Atalanta BC 0 - 2 Frosinone Calcio, illustrating these differing viewpoints.