TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 1:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Egypt's Premier League between Asyut Petroleum and El Gouna. The market will determine the winning team or if the game ends in a tie based on the full-time result after regular play, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Asyut Petroleum vs El Gouna Egyptian Premier League match scheduled for October 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Asyut Petroleum, a win for El Gouna, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The resolution specifically excludes extra time and penalty shootout results, focusing solely on the standing at the end of standard playing time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to capitalize on public perceptions, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. Over time, as more information becomes available and more people trade, the odds on Kalshi may converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds depending on how the public and professional opinions align. It’s useful to compare the two to identify potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Egyptian Premier League match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Egyptian Premier League match, as reported by official league sources. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances on Kalshi following the official confirmation. The market will then be closed, and any outstanding contracts will be settled based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ expectations and impact the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or significant changes in player form, could also play a role. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also contribute to price movements, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly.