TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:17 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming LNBP game between Fuerza Regia and Astros de Jalisco, originally scheduled for Friday, October 30, 2026 at 10:15 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Astros de Jalisco win, the market will resolve to "Astros de Jalisco". If the Fuerza Regia win, the market will resolve to "Fuerza Regia". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming LNBP game between Fuerza Regia and Astros de Jalisco, originally scheduled for Friday, October 30, 2026 at 10:15 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Astros de Jalisco win, the market will resolve to "Astros de Jalisco". If the Fuerza Regia win, the market will resolve to "Fuerza Regia". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants or unique information held by traders within this market. It’s common to see probabilities implied by this market shift as new information becomes available, potentially leading to divergence from initial sportsbook offerings.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the market participants. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Astros de Jalisco versus Fuerza Regia game. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to payouts based on the final share prices at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to the resolution date to stay informed.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant performance trends for either the Astros de Jalisco or Fuerza Regia could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the game, or even pre-game analysis from baseball experts, could also cause price fluctuations. Major announcements related to team strategy or coaching decisions might also move this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in probabilities leading up to Nov 7, 2026.