TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 6:14 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming PLK game, scheduled for October 9 at 2:15PM ET: If the Astoria Bydgoszcz win, the market will resolve to "Astoria Bydgoszcz". If the GTK Gliwice win, the market will resolve to "GTK Gliwice". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming PLK game, scheduled for October 9 at 2:15PM ET: If the Astoria Bydgoszcz win, the market will resolve to "Astoria Bydgoszcz". If the GTK Gliwice win, the market will resolve to "GTK Gliwice". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
It's common to see differences between prediction market odds and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If sportsbooks heavily favor one team, the prediction market might show a different probability based on information or perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise from differing analyses of team form, player injuries, or even public perception of the Polish basketball match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular result will happen, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence regarding the Polish basketball match.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Astoria Bydgoszcz versus GTK Gliwice basketball game. Any official results or announcements from the governing body of Polish basketball will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Astoria Bydgoszcz or GTK Gliwice would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even pre-game reports about player morale could also impact the market. Any significant news coverage or analysis predicting a change in the likely outcome of the Polish basketball match could also drive trading volume and price fluctuations.