TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:05 PM EST
Kalshi
The spread markets for Aston Villa versus Fulham assess varying degrees of victory for each team. These markets cover scenarios where Aston Villa wins by significant margins and where Fulham secures a decisive win, highlighting potential imbalances in team performance.
These spread markets resolve based on the margin of victory in the professional EPL soccer game between Aston Villa and Fulham, scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The first two markets require Aston Villa to win by more than 2.5 goals and more than 1.5 goals, respectively, to resolve to Yes. The latter two markets require Fulham to win by more than 1.5 goals and more than 2.5 goals, respectively, to resolve to Yes. If the specified condition is met, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows individuals to trade based on their own research and insights. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or shifts in public sentiment than sportsbooks, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the spread in the Aston Villa vs Fulham match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving expectations. The platform uses a market-making system to ensure there are always bids and asks available, facilitating smooth trading and price discovery.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Aston Villa vs Fulham match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official final score as determined by the governing body of the league. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the ranges defined by the different contract options available on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for key players on either Aston Villa or Fulham would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements related to team management or significant shifts in public perception regarding either team's chances of winning could also move this market considerably.