TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an English Womens Super League soccer match between Aston Villa and Crystal Palace. The result will be determined based on the full-time score after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. Markets will resolve according to whether Aston Villa wins, Crystal Palace wins, or the match ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace professional English Womens Super League soccer match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within regular time; the Tie market resolves to Yes if the match concludes with an equal score. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi’s procedures. The event exclusively considers the result after normal time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or events that impact the perceived likelihood of outcomes, potentially exceeding the speed of sportsbook adjustments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. These prices are determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi, and are not influenced by external factors or predetermined algorithms beyond the platform’s matching engine.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace match, as determined by official league sources. The final score and any relevant match statistics will be used to verify the outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, managerial changes, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or broader league standings updates, might also influence the probabilities. Major tactical announcements or changes in team form leading up to the match are also likely to cause price movements. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths or chances of winning could move this market.