TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks users to forecast which team, Aston Villa or Manchester City, will win the second half of a Premier League match, or if the second half will end in a draw. The markets focus solely on goals scored during the second half of regular play, including stoppage time.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Aston Villa FC" if Aston Villa FC score more goals than Manchester City FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC score more goals than Aston Villa FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Aston Villa FC" if Aston Villa FC score more goals than Manchester City FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC score more goals than Aston Villa FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public opinion differs from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge due to information access, prediction markets can become highly accurate as more information and trading volume accumulate, with current volume at $322.