TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC?

Volume:
$5,670,907

Aston Villa FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 9:38 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Aston Villa FC

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,253,882
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

AST

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$23,707
$260,226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Manchester City FC

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,326,499
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

MAC

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$775
$372,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC)

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$330,194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$3,493
$128,051
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Aston Villa FC versus Manchester City FC football match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Aston Villa FC winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Predict and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the Premier League. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 24, 2026, to see if this consensus holds as the game progresses within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on official match results and a defined fallback hierarchy for data sourcing.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Premier League).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'.
  • A tiered source hierarchy is used: Official sources > Flashscore > Sofascore > Consensus of credible reporting.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official sources do not publish final statistics within 2 hours, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, but no later than 24 hours after the event's conclusion. If no data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from margins, while prediction markets are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at incorporating information and reflecting true probabilities. However, sportsbooks often have limits on bet sizes, whereas prediction markets can sometimes accommodate larger wagers, influencing the price discovery process for this market.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices for this market on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, leading to different interpretations of the likely outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more stable and potentially more accurate prices. Additionally, the specific market structures and fee mechanisms on Polymarket and Predict can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the observed probabilities. These differences contribute to a more nuanced understanding of the event.