TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:16 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Aston Villa FC and Fulham FC, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Aston Villa FC" if Aston Villa FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Fulham FC" if Fulham FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Aston Villa FC and Fulham FC, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Aston Villa FC" if Aston Villa FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Fulham FC" if Fulham FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place bets, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price of shares for each team to score first in the first half reflects the market’s assessment of their respective chances. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on which team, Aston Villa or Fulham, scores the first goal during the first half of the match. The result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score, based on the final share prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Aston Villa or Fulham would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions impacting playing style are another potential catalyst. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can influence trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Any developments that alter the perceived probability of either team scoring first could lead to shifts in this market.