TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Aston Villa FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Aston Villa FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK?

Volume:
$256

AST

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 5:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

AST

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aston Villa FC

100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

FEN

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$2,308
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fenerbahçe SK

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Aston Villa FC and Fenerbahçe SK. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. A 'Neither' outcome is possible if no goal is scored within that timeframe.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria, focusing on the first goal scored within the standard 90-minute match duration plus stoppage time, with a 'Neither' option and clear handling of postponements/cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the winner.
  • If no team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Postponed matches extend the market until completion.
  • Cancelled matches resolve to 'Neither'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics aren't available within 2 hours, Flashscore is used, then Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting. If no data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores after market resolution are not considered.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official final result is available, but no later than 24 hours after the event's conclusion. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50, or to 'Draw' where applicable.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Aston Villa FC and Fenerbahçe SK, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Aston Villa FC" if Aston Villa FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fenerbahçe SK" if Fenerbahçe SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between Aston Villa FC and Fenerbahçe SK, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Aston Villa FC" if Aston Villa FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fenerbahçe SK" if Fenerbahçe SK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on which team will score first in the Aston Villa vs. Fenerbahçe match. Currently, Polymarket shows a strong likelihood of neither team scoring first, with a chance percentage of 97. However, volume remains at 0 across both platforms, indicating limited trading activity in this market. This means the current probabilities are based on very few predictions. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of expectations for the Aston Villa vs. Fenerbahçe first-to-score market, allowing users to compare predictions and potential payouts.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets reflect the collective beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when incorporating new information quickly. The volume of $256 in this market suggests moderate interest, and comparing these probabilities to sportsbook lines can reveal discrepancies and potentially profitable opportunities. However, it’s crucial to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for the Aston Villa vs. Fenerbahçe first-to-score market can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume, currently at 0, is also a key driver; low volume can amplify price swings on either platform. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for setting odds differ between Polymarket and Predict, leading to variations in how information is incorporated into prices. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for traders who identify and exploit price inconsistencies.