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Aston Villa FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Aston Villa FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK?

Volume:
$1,549,869

Aston Villa

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 4:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Aston Villa

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$428,139
N/A
N/A
$308,759
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aston Villa FC

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$319,493
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

AST

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$15,004
$80,327
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fenerbahce

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$321,150
N/A
N/A
$262,808
Settled
No
polymarket

Fenerbahçe SK

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$244,750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

FEN

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$2,500
$29,208
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,389
N/A
N/A
$52,250
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Aston Villa FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK)

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,655
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$2,449
$4,756
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a Champions League soccer match between Aston Villa FC and Fenerbahçe SK scheduled for October 14, 2026. Markets ask whether Aston Villa, Fenerbahçe, or the game will end in a draw, all within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution differs between platforms; Polymarket resolves winning team markets to 'No' upon cancellation, while Kalshi resolves the 'Draw' market to 'Yes'.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation scenarios when trading. A cancellation favors the 'Draw' market on Kalshi, but hurts team-win markets on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This applies to all team-win markets.
  • Kalshi: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the market resolves to Yes for the Tie market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between Aston Villa FC and Fenerbahçe SK.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe Champions League match scheduled for October 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Aston Villa secures a victory during this regulation period, the 'Aston Villa' market resolves to Yes. If Fenerbahçe achieves a win under the same conditions, the 'Fenerbahçe' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude with an equal scoreline after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Markets do not consider outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined by the platform rules.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 14, 2026 between Aston Villa FC and Fenerbahçe SK.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and aim to profit from balancing action on both sides. In contrast, this market’s odds are driven by the collective predictions of traders who have a financial incentive to be accurate. This can lead to more efficient price discovery, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant news or events impact perceptions of likely outcomes.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which all contribute to price variations. Furthermore, the specific questions offered on each platform might not be perfectly aligned, even if they relate to the same underlying event. For example, one platform might focus on the outright winner, while the other offers markets on specific aspects of the match, such as the total number of goals scored. These differences in market structure and participant behavior can lead to differing probabilities being reflected in the prices.