TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Greece's Super League between Asteras Tripolis and Levadiakos. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty kicks. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos professional Greece Super League soccer match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026. The outcome is determined solely after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets exist: one for an Asteras Tripolis win, one for a Levadiakos win, and one for a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The markets operate independently, with each resolving to Yes only if its specific condition is met.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin, while this market represents what traders believe is the true probability of an outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public information or debate surrounding the Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos match. Comparing the two can reveal areas where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating certain possibilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting traders’ beliefs about the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that as more people buy contracts predicting a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. The platform facilitates this price discovery process, allowing for a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform relies on publicly available data to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand when the market will be settled and payouts will be processed.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Asteras Tripolis or Levadiakos could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even significant pre-match analysis from sports commentators could also shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related matches or broader football news could indirectly affect this market as well, leading to price fluctuations.