TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:36 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and Fluminense FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fluminense FC" if Fluminense FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and Fluminense FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Fluminense FC" if Fluminense FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may adjust more slowly to new information. This market, driven by active traders on Polymarket, can quickly incorporate news and sentiment, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those found at sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities as the event approaches, especially when significant information becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and decreases the probability. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the Associação Chapecoense de Futebol versus Fluminense FC match. The official match records and reporting from recognized sports news outlets will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the Oct 24, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Chapecoense or Fluminense would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, such as recent match results or tactical adjustments, could also shift the probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match announcements about starting lineups, could all contribute to fluctuations in the market. Significant betting activity on Polymarket itself, driven by new information or shifts in sentiment, will also impact the price of shares.