TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Chapecoense
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 14, 2026
Time left: 12d:02h:53m
$
This group resolves based on the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and CR Vasco da Gama, scheduled for November 14, 2026. Markets ask whether Chapecoense will win, Vasco da Gama will win, or the game will end in a draw.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and CR Vasco da Gama, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama Brasileiro Serie A match scheduled for November 14, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' resolution occurs for the respective team market if that team wins in regular time, or for the 'Tie' market if the game ends level. The markets exclusively consider results from regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets resolve to a fair price according to Kalshi's standard procedures. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or its trademarks.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of a diverse group of traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when incorporating information not readily available to sportsbook oddsmakers. Furthermore, prediction markets allow participants to take both sides of a bet, incentivizing accurate predictions, whereas sportsbooks primarily profit from the spread.
This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Chapecoense vs. Vasco da Gama match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official match results as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders will be able to see the verified result and the corresponding payout for their positions once the resolution process is complete.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Nov 15, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment and shift the probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams could also affect predictions. Furthermore, significant volume entering the market on either side—perhaps driven by new information or a change in public opinion—could cause substantial price movements. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding the dynamics of this market.