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Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Paranaense - First Team to Score
polymarket

What team will score first?

Volume:
$38

CA Paranaense

 - Polymarket

CA Paranaense - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 11:09 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

CA Paranaense

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming match between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and CA Paranaense, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Paranaense" if CA Paranaense are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and CA Paranaense, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Paranaense" if CA Paranaense are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Chapecoense vs. Paranaense first-to-score market displays the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the probabilities for each team to score first have shifted over time, and gauge market interest through the volume of $13 traded in the last day. The total volume for this market currently stands at $38. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of each team taking an early lead in the match.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s pricing is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their individual assessments. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when information asymmetry exists or public sentiment is strong.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome – in this case, either Chapecoense, Paranaense, or neither team scoring first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability assigned to each outcome by the collective intelligence of the traders. As more trades occur, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability of each team scoring first. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on identifying which team, if any, scores the first goal in the Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Paranaense match. Official match data will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and shares will be redeemed based on the final result, with payouts corresponding to the probabilities established throughout the trading period.

Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also play a role. A significant shift in public opinion, perhaps driven by social media trends, could also impact trading volume and prices. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.