TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:07 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and CA Paranaense, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Paranaense match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and CA Paranaense, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CA Paranaense match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official score of the Associação Chapecoense de Futebol versus CA Paranaense match will determine the winning outcome. Any potential delays or postponements of the match may affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will always be based on the officially recorded result. Traders should monitor news sources for updates regarding the match schedule and final score.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role. Furthermore, real-time updates during the match itself – such as early goals, red cards, or key player substitutions – will likely cause rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding events. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.