TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 2:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the Liiga match between Assat Pori and HPK Hameenlinna, scheduled for October 9 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Assat Pori" if Assat Pori is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "HPK Hameenlinna" if HPK Hameenlinna is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including overtime and any shootout. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Liiga results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the Liiga match between Assat Pori and HPK Hameenlinna, scheduled for October 9 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Assat Pori" if Assat Pori is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "HPK Hameenlinna" if HPK Hameenlinna is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including overtime and any shootout. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Liiga results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from traditional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the collective predictions of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets can offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies between the two can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on differing valuations of the same outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. The current trading volume and price fluctuations provide insights into how the market is interpreting available information about the Assat Pori and HPK Hameenlinna game.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Assat Pori versus HPK Hameenlinna game, as reported by official league sources. The market will then determine which outcome – a win for Assat Pori or a win for HPK Hameenlinna – occurred according to the official game results. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Assat Pori or HPK Hameenlinna would likely impact the odds. Unexpected changes in team performance, such as a winning or losing streak, could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, any news regarding coaching changes, team morale, or significant tactical adjustments could influence traders' predictions. Even public opinion and expert analysis, if widely disseminated, might cause fluctuations in the price of shares in this market.