TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
The 2026 Asian Games are scheduled for September 19–October 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the listed country that is officially awarded the gold medal in Men's Volleyball (Indoor) at the 2026 Asian Games. If according to the official competition results, it becomes impossible for a listed country to win the gold medal in Men's Volleyball (Indoor), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Other" in any of these cases: - The gold medal is awarded to a country that is not listed - More than one country is officially awarded the gold medal - The Men's Volleyball (Indoor) competition is cancelled, postponed beyond December 31, 2026, or no gold medal winner is officially declared by that date The resolution source will be the official results published by the Olympic Council of Asia. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official information is unavailable.
The 2026 Asian Games are scheduled for September 19–October 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the listed country that is officially awarded the gold medal in Men's Volleyball (Indoor) at the 2026 Asian Games. If according to the official competition results, it becomes impossible for a listed country to win the gold medal in Men's Volleyball (Indoor), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Other" in any of these cases: - The gold medal is awarded to a country that is not listed - More than one country is officially awarded the gold medal - The Men's Volleyball (Indoor) competition is cancelled, postponed beyond December 31, 2026, or no gold medal winner is officially declared by that date The resolution source will be the official results published by the Olympic Council of Asia. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official information is unavailable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it might suggest that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing a team's chances. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or biases.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each potential gold medalist. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of the traders regarding that team’s probability of winning. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest insights and expectations surrounding the Asian Games men's volleyball tournament.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the Men’s Volleyball Gold Medal match at the 2026 Asian Games. The team declared the winner by the official tournament organizers will determine the outcome of this market. No further information is available regarding the resolution process beyond this general timing and verification method.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major team announcements, such as key player injuries or coaching changes, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Strong performances in lead-up tournaments or friendly matches could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in early rounds of the Asian Games could dramatically alter the perceived chances of various teams. Finally, any news regarding the overall health and preparedness of the competing nations could also move this market as we approach Nov 4, 2026.