TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 2:18 PM EST
Predict
The 2026 Asian Games are scheduled for September 19–October 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the listed country that is officially awarded the gold medal in Men's Soccer at the 2026 Asian Games. If according to the official competition results, it becomes impossible for a listed country to win the gold medal in Men's Soccer, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Other" in any of these cases: - The gold medal is awarded to a country that is not listed - More than one country is officially awarded the gold medal - The Men's Soccer competition is cancelled, postponed beyond December 31, 2026, or no gold medal winner is officially declared by that date The resolution source will be the official results published by the Olympic Council of Asia. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official information is unavailable.
The 2026 Asian Games are scheduled for September 19–October 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the listed country that is officially awarded the gold medal in Men's Soccer at the 2026 Asian Games. If according to the official competition results, it becomes impossible for a listed country to win the gold medal in Men's Soccer, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Other" in any of these cases: - The gold medal is awarded to a country that is not listed - More than one country is officially awarded the gold medal - The Men's Soccer competition is cancelled, postponed beyond December 31, 2026, or no gold medal winner is officially declared by that date The resolution source will be the official results published by the Olympic Council of Asia. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official information is unavailable.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's current estimate of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive forecast. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the odds you see can change rapidly, especially as the Asian Games draw closer and more information emerges about team form and potential upsets.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that wins the gold medal in men's soccer at the 2026 Asian Games will be declared the winner of this market. Resolution will be based on the official results published by the Asian Games organizing committee and independently verified. The market will close prior to the final match to prevent any last-minute manipulation or influence from the game’s result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major injuries to key players on leading teams, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected results in qualifying matches are all potential catalysts. News regarding team form, such as strong performances in friendly matches or domestic leagues, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any geopolitical events or unforeseen circumstances that might affect the participation of certain countries could cause substantial movement in this market. Keep an eye on sports news and team updates for the most relevant signals.