TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 2:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Ashdod and Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat, focusing on determining whether Ashdod wins, Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat wins, or the game ends in a tie within regular time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Ashdod vs Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat professional Liga Leumit soccer match scheduled for October 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for either team will resolve the respective market to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform's guidelines. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration for market resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, public biases, or simply variations in information access. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and events that impact the perceived likelihood of each outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Ashdod vs. Kiryat Gat match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The closer the event gets, the more volatile the price may become as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time probability assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Ashdod vs. Kiryat Gat match, as officially reported by sporting authorities, will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of all contracts. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, as reflected by betting patterns and media coverage, can also influence the market price. Major upsets in other related matches or even broader sporting news could indirectly affect this market. Keep an eye on team performance in preceding matches and any official announcements from the clubs involved.