TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 6:32 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Serie C game, scheduled for Friday, October 23, 2026 between ASD Pineto Calcio and AS Gubbio.
This event is for the upcoming Serie C game, scheduled for Friday, October 23, 2026 between ASD Pineto Calcio and AS Gubbio.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or information asymmetry. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a different form of forecasting and has its own strengths and weaknesses.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses an Automated Market Maker (AMM) model, meaning prices are determined by a mathematical formula based on the supply and demand of shares, rather than a traditional order book. This ensures there is always a market available, even with low trading volume.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Pineto vs. Gubbio match – whether Pineto wins, Gubbio wins, or the match ends in a draw – will be used to determine the winning share(s). The resolution will be based on official match results published by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is officially confirmed and reflected on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Weather conditions on match day, especially if they are severe, might also play a role. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports analysts and any shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in social media or betting trends, could all contribute to price movements. Unexpected lineup announcements closer to the match could also cause volatility in this market.