TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:23 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC and Empoli FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC" if Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Empoli FC" if Empoli FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC and Empoli FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC" if Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Empoli FC" if Empoli FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each team scoring first. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the event. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC or Empoli FC will be the first to score. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. This dynamic pricing means the odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team, Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC or Empoli FC, is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the match. Official match data will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against trusted sports news sources and official league records to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news about key player injuries or suspensions for either Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC or Empoli FC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-match commentary, could lead to adjustments in the odds on Polymarket. Unexpected team lineup announcements can also be a catalyst for price changes.