TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AS Roma vs. US Cremonese
Volume:
$890,047
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Serie A soccer match between AS Roma and US Cremonese scheduled for February 22, 2026. The markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Roma win, Cremonese win, or draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market design is logically contradictory: it lists three mutually exclusive outcomes but resolves all three to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and non-predictive. Polymarket uses proper binary structure with three separate markets.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic guarantees a Yes outcome regardless of the actual match result, rendering it useless for prediction. Trade Polymarket's three separate binary markets instead, which have sound, mutually exclusive logic and consistent edge-case handling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market lists three conditions (Tie, Roma win, Cremonese win) but resolves all to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible outcome triggers Yes. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Roma wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Cremonese wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with proper mutual exclusivity: Draw (Yes/No), Roma Win (Yes/No), Cremonese Win (Yes/No). Cancellation logic is consistent: postponement keeps market open; full cancellation resolves Draw to Yes and both team wins to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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