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AS Monaco FC vs. Toulouse FC - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What is the result of AS Monaco FC vs Toulouse FC?

Volume:
$7

ASM

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 4:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

ASM

View
67%
Yes 67¢No 33¢
—
$307
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AS Monaco FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Toulouse FC

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

TOU

View
N/A
N/A
—
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

View
N/A
N/A
—
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between AS Monaco FC and Toulouse FC. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria regarding the timing of the first goal, the definition of regular time, and the fallback data sources.Primary resolution logic: Official match statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score during the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the winner.
  • If neither team scores within the specified timeframe, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Postponement suspends the market until the match is completed.
  • Cancellation of the match results in a 'Neither' resolution.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will determine the outcome.
  • Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market will resolve to 'Neither'.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official (or fallback) data is available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between AS Monaco FC and Toulouse FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AS Monaco FC" if AS Monaco FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toulouse FC" if Toulouse FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between AS Monaco FC and Toulouse FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "AS Monaco FC" if AS Monaco FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Toulouse FC" if Toulouse FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of either AS Monaco FC or Toulouse FC scoring the first goal in their upcoming match. Currently, there's a consensus view with Polymarket showing a strong likelihood of AS Monaco FC being the first to score, with approximately 97 percent chance, while volume across both platforms is $7. This allows users to see how the collective wisdom of the crowd is pricing this market, providing a dynamic assessment of each team’s perceived advantage. The short_topic, the Monaco vs. Toulouse first-to-score market, provides a focused view of this specific event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a more nuanced view than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk, incorporating a ‘vig’ or commission, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting their own capital. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions and are less susceptible to biases inherent in sportsbook modeling. The volume of $7 in this market suggests a degree of confidence among participants, potentially diverging from initial sportsbook offerings. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and risk tolerance. Polymarket currently favors AS Monaco FC to score first at 97 percent, while Predict leans toward Toulouse FC to score first. This difference in perceived probabilities is also influenced by the liquidity on each platform; lower volume can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, differing information access and interpretation among traders on each platform contribute to these discrepancies. The volume of $7 provides a snapshot of recent trading activity.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either AS Monaco FC or Toulouse FC would likely cause price adjustments. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, potentially favoring one team’s playing style over the other. Overall match form and recent performance of both teams, as well as any pre-match analysis, will continue to be weighed by traders until the market resolves.