TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between AS Monaco FC and Lille OSC. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
In the upcoming match between AS Monaco FC and Lille OSC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AS Monaco FC" if AS Monaco FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Lille OSC" if Lille OSC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between AS Monaco FC and Lille OSC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AS Monaco FC" if AS Monaco FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Lille OSC" if Lille OSC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time insights from individuals incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, though arbitrage opportunities can arise from temporary mispricings between the two.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Monaco vs. Lille first-to-score market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, leading to differing opinions. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can result in greater price volatility and divergence. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution on each platform can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors neither team to score first at 95, while Predict leans toward Lille OSC to score first.