TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:35 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between AS Monaco FC and Lille OSC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AS Monaco FC" if AS Monaco FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Lille OSC" if Lille OSC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between AS Monaco FC and Lille OSC, scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "AS Monaco FC" if AS Monaco FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Lille OSC" if Lille OSC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether AS Monaco or Lille will score first in the first half. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market’s liquidity, indicated by the trading volume, also influences price discovery. Higher volume generally leads to more accurate pricing, as it incorporates a wider range of opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, AS Monaco or Lille, scored the first goal during the first half of the match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. The platform will then finalize the market, distributing payouts to traders who correctly predicted the outcome. This ensures a transparent and reliable resolution process for all participants.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either AS Monaco or Lille would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning streak or a string of losses, could also affect trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, potentially favoring one team’s style of play over the other. Unexpected announcements related to team tactics or starting lineups could also trigger movement in this market as traders react to new information.