TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 10:55 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for October 4 at 7:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for October 4 at 7:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like marketing or house biases into their lines, while this market is driven purely by supply and demand. If sportsbook odds significantly diverge from those on Polymarket, it could indicate a disagreement about the true probability of an outcome. It’s important to note that prediction markets allow traders to take both sides of a bet, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities than traditional betting venues.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The current volume traded gives insight into how actively this market is being assessed by traders.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Aruba vs. Anguilla match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the event. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is officially determined and reported. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result of the match.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff for either Aruba or Anguilla could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might influence trading activity. Monitoring these factors closely will provide insight into potential movements in the market leading up to the Oct 4, 2026 resolution.