TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 10:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game between Aruba and Anguilla, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Aruba vs. Anguilla match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game between Aruba and Anguilla, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Aruba vs. Anguilla match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the collective beliefs of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate, especially when information isn't widely available or when there's a potential for bias in sportsbook lines. Discrepancies between the two can present opportunities for arbitrage, though transaction costs must be considered.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official score of the Aruba vs. Anguilla match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any disputes regarding the official score will be resolved based on the governing body’s official records. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff for either Aruba or Anguilla would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also influence the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-match analysis or expert predictions, could lead to changes in the market’s price. Major upsets in similar matches could also influence traders’ expectations.