TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:55 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Arsenal WFC and Aston Villa WFC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Arsenal WFC" if Arsenal WFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aston Villa WFC" if Aston Villa WFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Arsenal WFC and Aston Villa WFC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Arsenal WFC" if Arsenal WFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aston Villa WFC" if Aston Villa WFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Frequently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. This can be due to the wisdom of the crowd effect, where the collective predictions of many individuals often prove more accurate than those of a few experts. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise from differing risk assessments, information advantages, or simply varying opinions on the likely outcome of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Arsenal or Aston Villa will score first. The price of these shares reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of each team scoring first. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, team form, and other relevant factors.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, Arsenal or Aston Villa, officially scores the first goal in the match. Official match data will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against trusted sports news sources and official league records to ensure accuracy and transparency, providing a definitive answer to this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Arsenal or Aston Villa would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, such as a surprising result in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Pre-match announcements about starting lineups or tactical changes could also influence the odds. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, as they might affect the style of play and the likelihood of a quick goal.