TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Arsenal vs Lille: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Arsenal vs Lille?

Volume:
$256,596

Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 4:52 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$169,836
N/A
N/A
$99,081
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arsenal wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$54,921
N/A
N/A
$33,789
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lille wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,052
N/A
N/A
$14,322
Settled
No
kalshi

Arsenal wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,645
N/A
N/A
$7,251
Settled
No
kalshi

Lille wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,371
N/A
N/A
$3,371
Settled
No
kalshi

Arsenal wins by more than 4.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$770
N/A
N/A
$770
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional Champions League soccer match between Arsenal and Lille, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. It reflects how decisively one team outperforms the other within regular time.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different winning margins in the Arsenal vs Lille Champions League match scheduled for October 13, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: Arsenal winning by more than 2.5 goals, Arsenal winning by more than 1.5 goals, Lille winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Lille winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the specific condition met by the actual score differential. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Arsenal vs Lille match tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes in this spread market. You’ll see a live feed of trading activity, including the 24-hour volume of $236,287 and the total volume traded to date of $256,596. The dashboard also displays the implied probabilities based on current prices, offering a clear visualization of where traders stand on the likely result. This allows you to monitor how opinions are shifting in real-time as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that prediction market participants possess information not yet fully incorporated into traditional betting lines. It’s a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to rapidly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current price represents the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread in the Arsenal vs Lille match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact payout amount will depend on the price of the contract at the time of resolution.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes for either Arsenal or Lille could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, general sentiment expressed by analysts and fans, as well as any significant shifts in public opinion, may drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential market movements.