TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Arsenal vs Lille
kalshi

What is the result of Arsenal vs Lille?

Volume:
$2,565,360

Arsenal

 - Kalshi

Arsenal - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 4:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arsenal

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,304,599
N/A
N/A
$826,139
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lille

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$884,592
N/A
N/A
$763,145
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$376,169
N/A
N/A
$300,456
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Arsenal will win its Champions League soccer game against Lille. Currently, Kalshi gives Arsenal a 65.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 31.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Arsenal vs Lille professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 13, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Arsenal vs Lille professional Champions League soccer match scheduled for October 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Arsenal wins, the 'Arsenal' market resolves to Yes. If Lille wins, the 'Lille' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result within regular time, with no account for postseason or tie-breaking procedures.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Arsenal vs Lille match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes changes over time, and monitor the total volume traded in this market, currently at $2,565,360. The 24-hour volume is $2,515,444, indicating recent trading activity. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on the outcome of this sporting event.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the perceived probabilities surrounding the Arsenal vs Lille match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of each outcome in the Arsenal vs Lille match, and this dynamic pricing mechanism is central to how Kalshi operates.

This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Arsenal vs Lille match, as determined by the governing sporting body. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the final result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the outcome of this market.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Arsenal or Lille would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also cause shifts in the odds. Monitoring sports news and analysis related to both teams is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that might affect the outcome of this market.