TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 2.5 total goals will be scored in the Arsenal versus Leeds United professional EPL soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 2.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on whether over 0.5 goals are scored in the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result of the match. Keep a close watch on the game itself, scheduled for October 10, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Arsenal vs Leeds United professional EPL soccer game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market may adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant event, as the market incorporates diverse perspectives on the likely outcome of the Arsenal vs Leeds match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the total goals scored, and the market price reflects the collective expectation. As traders exchange contracts, the prices dynamically adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various goal totals in the Arsenal vs Leeds United game.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Arsenal vs Leeds United match, as officially recorded by the governing football authorities, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the final scoreline, including any goals scored during regular play or added time, and excluding penalty shootouts. This ensures a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome following the completion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Arsenal or Leeds United would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might affect the scoring potential. Furthermore, any major news related to team morale or managerial decisions could influence trader sentiment and cause fluctuations in the Arsenal vs Leeds goals market.