TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 7, 2026
Time left: 04d:13h:45m
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This event tracks the outcome of an English Premier League soccer match between Arsenal and Hull City, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for how many goals the winning team scores beyond the opponent. The result is determined solely by the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Arsenal vs Hull City EPL match scheduled for November 7, 2026, each defined by a specific goal-difference threshold for either team to win by. Four distinct conditions are assessed: Arsenal winning by more than 2.5 goals, Arsenal winning by more than 1.5 goals, Hull City winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Hull City winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based exclusively on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootout results. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all referenced trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event. This is a good way to gauge public opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread in the Arsenal vs Hull City match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, offering a unique perspective compared to static odds offered elsewhere. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Arsenal vs Hull City match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to note that the resolution relies on publicly available and verified data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Arsenal or Hull City would likely impact the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all influence trader sentiment. Major news stories affecting team morale or public perception could also play a role. Monitoring these factors and their potential impact on the game’s outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.