TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in a professional league match, focusing on the margin of victory. It examines different thresholds for how convincingly a team wins, reflecting various levels of dominance in the game. The outcome depends entirely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple winning-margin scenarios for the Arsenal vs Everton professional EPL soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Resolution occurs solely based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty outcomes are excluded. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: Arsenal winning by more than 2.5 goals, Arsenal winning by more than 1.5 goals, Everton winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Everton winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market resolving to 'Yes' under these conditions will be deemed the final outcome, with all secondary disclaimers affirming no official affiliation between Kalshi and the governing league, and recognizing the ownership of all related trademarks, logos, and brand names by their respective parties.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven by participants directly predicting the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result in the Arsenal vs Everton match, the odds here may diverge. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially when there's strong sentiment or inside information influencing traders.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Arsenal vs Everton match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final score of the game, determining the winning side and the margin of victory. This market is designed to reflect the actual event outcome as reported by trusted sources, providing a clear and objective resolution for all participants. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 24, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Arsenal or Everton would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected team news, such as changes in the starting lineup, could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant news regarding team form, manager statements, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment and lead to price fluctuations. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators may also play a role.