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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 13, 6:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Arsenal FC and Lille OSC. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
In the upcoming match between Arsenal FC and Lille OSC, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Lille OSC" if Lille OSC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Arsenal FC and Lille OSC, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Lille OSC" if Lille OSC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more accurate aggregate of informed opinions than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or focus on public betting patterns, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, with prediction markets sometimes identifying mispriced outcomes. However, both offer valuable insights, and arbitrage opportunities can arise when discrepancies exist. The efficiency of this market is driven by the collective intelligence of its participants, resulting in a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could significantly shift predictions. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, real-time updates during the match itself—such as early scoring opportunities or red cards—could trigger rapid price movements. General sentiment and analysis surrounding the teams’ recent performance will also affect trading activity in this market, driving shifts in probability.