TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 6:08 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Arsenal FC and Lille OSC, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC match originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Arsenal FC and Lille OSC, scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC match originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a more accurate forecast of events than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and allow participants to hedge their positions. However, sportsbook odds are often set with a built-in margin for profit, while this market allows traders to set prices based on their own assessments. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially in the days leading up to the event, as new information becomes available and opinions shift. Comparing these odds can offer valuable insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where shares representing each possible exact score are bought and sold. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular score is likely, the price of its corresponding shares will increase, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, offering a real-time assessment of the event’s potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Arsenal vs. Lille match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution process will verify the exact scoreline achieved during the match to determine which shares will pay out and which will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result following the completion of the game.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Arsenal or Lille would likely cause shifts in the odds. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even significant pre-match commentary from football analysts could also contribute to price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths could move this market.