TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:51 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether there will be over or under 0.5 goals scored in the second half of the Arsenal FC versus Leeds United FC Premier League match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: 2nd Half O/U 0.5”. Resolution will be determined by the official results reported on https://www.premierleague.com/. Keep an eye on the kickoff time of the match itself on October 10 at 7:30 AM ET, as that will begin the window for determining the second-half goal total.
More markets for the Premier League game, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30 AM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the price on Polymarket in a different direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective opinion of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance. The current volume traded demonstrates the level of interest in this particular event.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Arsenal vs. Leeds match will be used to determine the winning outcome. This includes confirming the official scoreline and any relevant match statistics as reported by official sources. Resolution will occur promptly after the conclusion of the match, ensuring traders are settled quickly and accurately based on the verified results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Arsenal or Leeds would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also play a role. Monitoring these signals and how they are interpreted by the market participants is key to understanding potential price fluctuations.