TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:30 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Arsenal FC and Leeds United FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Leeds United FC" if Leeds United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Arsenal FC and Leeds United FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Leeds United FC" if Leeds United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates individual predictions. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook underestimates a team’s chances, the prediction market odds will shift accordingly. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant news or developments impact perceptions of the likely outcome.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the current market consensus on its likelihood. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders are incentivized to offer accurate assessments, as profitable trades depend on correctly predicting the event's outcome. The platform facilitates this price discovery process, allowing for a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team—Arsenal or Leeds United—scores the first goal in the match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential delays in official reporting could slightly postpone resolution, but the platform will work to finalize the market as quickly as possible following the completion of the game and verification of the results.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Arsenal or Leeds United would likely cause price movement. Unexpected changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift expectations. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, or even late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts, could impact trading activity. A significant shift in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or widespread fan discussion, could also influence the odds until the market resolves.