TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:19 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Premier League game between Arsenal FC and Leeds United FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Arsenal FC and Leeds United FC, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it could signal that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular exact score. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official exact score of the Arsenal FC versus Leeds United FC match will determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the resolution reflected on Polymarket once the result is officially announced and verified. This ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Arsenal or Leeds would likely have a significant impact. Team form, tactical changes announced by the managers, and even weather conditions on match day could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis suggesting a change in strategy could also cause fluctuations in the odds. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding the dynamics of this market.