TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

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2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

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40,511

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC?

Volume:
$2,518,544

Arsenal FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 9:51 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Arsenal FC

View
100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,193,846
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

ARS

View
99%
27%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$35,626
$475,640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
1%
18%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$6,883
$66,297
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$203,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

LEE

View
1%
10%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$6,921
$97,813
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Leeds United FC

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$481,180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Arsenal FC versus Leeds United FC Premier League match scheduled for October 10, 2026, asking whether Arsenal FC will win. Currently, the aggregated probability of Arsenal FC winning is 49.0%, as measured across Predict and Polymarket. The second most probable outcome is a draw, at 43.0%. Resolution will be based on the official final result of the match—first 90 minutes plus stoppage time—according to Official Premier League sources (https://www.premierleague.com/). Keep an eye on the team lineups announced closer to October 10, 2026, as they may significantly influence market sentiment before the match window closes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on official match statistics with defined fallback sources and handling for postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official Premier League sources (https://www.premierleague.com/)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled, win markets resolve 'No' and draw markets resolve 'Yes'.
  • Official statistics are the primary source, with Flashscore, Sofascore, and consensus reporting as fallbacks if official data is unavailable within 2 hours.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Delay: If official statistics are not available within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are published, or within 24 hours of the match's conclusion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between Arsenal FC and Leeds United FC.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between Arsenal FC and Leeds United FC.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient and accurate, especially when significant information isn't yet reflected in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on certain outcomes, and both offer valuable insights for informed decision-making around this market.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for this market can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to distinct trading behaviors. Trading volume also plays a role; Polymarket has a significantly higher volume than Predict on this event. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on each platform can influence pricing. These differences contribute to the observed variations in probabilities for the Arsenal vs. Leeds match.