TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:09h:42m
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This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Arsenal FC and Hull City AFC. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
In the upcoming match between Arsenal FC and Hull City AFC, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Hull City AFC" if Hull City AFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Arsenal FC and Hull City AFC, scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Hull City AFC" if Hull City AFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets are driven by real-money wagers. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public information or sentiment not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. The implied probabilities in this market can be a valuable complement to sportsbook odds, providing a broader view of potential outcomes and the associated risks.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information advantages, leading to differing opinions on the likelihood of each outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery, while lower volume might result in greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for setting odds – how traders can buy and sell predictions – can differ between Polymarket and Predict, contributing to price discrepancies in this market.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team—Arsenal or Hull City—officially scores the first goal in the match, as recorded by official match data. The platform will verify this information against reliable sources to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome. Trading will cease once the event concludes and the result is confirmed, allowing for final settlement of all outstanding positions in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Arsenal or Hull City would likely shift the odds. Unexpected changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also influence predictions. Furthermore, real-time updates during the match itself – such as early scoring opportunities or red cards – would have an immediate effect. Finally, broader football news and expert analysis concerning team form and potential performance could all contribute to movement in this market.